Most newspapers talked about the shift in tactics adopted by combatants in Iraq from individual attacks on U.S. troops to massive car bombs against “soft targets” such as the U.N. headquarters in Baghdad yesterday. I don’t have much to add right now, since I gave my analysis yesterday. But I think I know why the Jordanian embassy was targeted by a smaller car bomb Aug. 7.
It was practice.
The question that everyone should be asking now is, what’s the next target?
Category Archives: Post-War
The Way We Were…
Man, I gotta get back to Baghdad. (New title for the site?) The reason I post this is because I finally got around to posting the link to one of the stories I did for Scholastic while I was over there in April.

Baghdad residents greet me in April. (® 2003 Christopher Allbritton)How optimistic the Iraqis (mostly Kurds, frankly) sounded!
“Everything will be OK,” said Wuria Ahmed Ameen, a Kurdish translator and professor in the northern Iraq city of Arbil. “There is still certain resistance, but even those that belonged to the Ba’ath Party [Saddam Hussein’s party] are very, very happy about the situation.” The only reason Saddam’s supporters backed him, he said, was because they feared him. Now that he’s gone, “They will accept what happened.…even the Arabs will realize how oppressed they were.”
Obviously things haven’t worked out quite that smoothly. I wonder what they think now, really. I read the _Times_ and the _Washington Post_ and much of the coverage focuses on the negative. This is to be expected and it’s how news works. It’s not an anti-American bias or anything like that — it’s a bias every reporter has that defines news as anything that goes against the expected grain. Full disclosure: I do it, too. Thirteen years of journalism and two degrees in journalism die hard.
This bias is, of course, one reason people like to call their local papers and demand less emphasis on “bad news.” Well, things in the America are generally expected to work out OK. When they don’t, that’s news — by definition. And “bad news” is generally more important than “good news.” Who wants to read a paper that tells readers, “everything’s cool,” when things aren’t cool at all?
And in parallel, foreign media in Iraq are focusing on the horrible stuff because _that’s news._ That’s what they do. But is there a silent Iraqi majority that supports the CPA? Or are the angry and resentful people quoted in the papers truly representative of public opinion? I don’t know the answers to those questions, but I’d like to find out.
Anyway, my book proposal is in my agent’s hands, and I’m waiting to hear now. Here’s hoping a decent advance is forthcoming and it will be enough to allow me to set up shop in Baghdad for two or three months to finish up the research.
Interesting news from Mosul
Salam over at Where is Raed? posted an highly interesting report from a friend of his calling herself Riverbend. Seems that the Americans are fouling things up in Mosul, too, and that domestic audiences here in the States may have really missed the anger and resentment of Iraqis at the attacks, killings and display of Udai and Qusai Hussein. As Riverbend writes:
People are infuriated because of the whole commotion– planes flying, Apaches hovering and freaked-out troops shooting right and left (yes, they shot civilians). Then, on top of all that crap, they decide to show the pictures on tv to ‘prove to the Iraqi people’ the deaths of Uday and Qusai… Pleeeeease… those pictures were obviously Bush’s war trophy. And could they have come at a more convenient time for the nitwit??? I think not…
She also makes note that electricity is back on in Mosul, more or less, but that it was accomplished through local efforts, not “Amreeekan” ones.
(Mosul was the scene of some of the most savage unrest after the war. (Salon.com, registration likely required.) Phillip Robertson did some great reporting there.)
Meanwhile, back in Iraq…
While much deserved attention is paid to battle for the truth against the Bush administration’s many changing rationales for war, the battle for Iraq is still ongoing. _Newsday_ has a chilling interview with a man known as Khaled, who claims to be a commander of the _Saddam Fedayeen_, and says the resistance is organized, growing and ruthless.
“We have many more people and we’re a lot better organized than the Americans realize,” said Khaled, 29, who gave an hour-long interview to _Newsday_ on Wednesday on the condition that only his first name be published. “We have been preparing for this kind of guerrilla war for a long time, and we’re much more patient than the Americans. We have nowhere else to go.“
Khaled described the workings of a loosely organized network of former Baath Party members, Iraqi soldiers, intelligence officers and other die-hard Hussein supporters who have been responsible for an unknown number of the attacks that have killed 29 U.S. soldiers and injured dozens since May 1.
He said the network operates in cells of five or six members that answer to a secret leadership structure. It goes by various names — the Fedayeen, the Iraq Liberation Army, Muhammad’s Army — and Khaled said only a handful of people know its full reach. He said its members draw inspiration from Hussein and from the belief that the ousted Iraqi leader is alive and will regain power once U.S. troops are forced to leave.
What has the United States marched its troops into? A quagmire? An abattoir?
I respectfully disagree with other sites that the U.S. should bring the troops home by Christmas. While I resent that the men and women I met while in the war were lied to and put in harm’s way for a myriad of shifting rationales, the fact of the matter is that Iraq is a mess. Pulling out the troops now would make it even worse, if you can believe that.
Iraq is a dangerous place, full of dangerous men. Saddam’s regime terrorized his people leaving resentments, fury and the urge for revenge. If the U.S. pulled out before the country was stabilized, there would be a civil war that might spill over into Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia. The Kurds would be massacred as Turkey and Iran move in to protect their interests. The Persian Gulf would be impassable. Energy infrastructure from Basra to Baku in Azerbaijan would be destroyed, slower or otherwise impaired. The world’s economy would grind to a halt. And the real danger to the West, al Qa’ida, would be able to operate much more freely.
That’s not to say there aren’t any alternatives, but none of them are very good. Turning Iraq over to a U.N. trust to be administered and policed by the body is a popular one. That’s a tough call, however. Iraq would be the biggest project of this kind ever undertaken by the United Nations, and its track record is mixed. Any realistic U.N.-sanctioned force needed to establish security would have to include a sizable portion of Americans — if only for logistical purposes — who would be even less welcome in Baghdad a second time around. Avoiding additional ill will would probably require placing American troops under an Islamic command, possibly Turkish or Pakistani. Can anyone really imagine any president, Republican or Democrat, doing that?
Many, many opposed this war — I did. I thought it was a mistake of colossal magnitude — still do. U.S. troops face 10 to 25 attacks _a day,_ and, as Khaled implied, it will get likely worse. The choices available are all bad. Simply put, *the Americans can’t stay, but neither can they leave.* What they call “liberation,” _tahrir_ in Arabic, too many Iraqis are calling _ihtilal,_ — “occupation,” with the overtones of the Christian Crusades, the Mongol sacking of Baghdad in the 13th century, the divvying up of the region between Britain and France after World War I and the Israeli presence in Lebanon and the occupied territories. As Salon.com writer Nir Rosen says:
The most common refrain one hears from Iraqis these days is: “They came as liberators and now they are occupiers.” The significance of the liberation vs. occupation debate can get lost in translation here, but its immense political implications were evident in a June 2 meeting, hosted by the Coalition Provisional Authority, for nearly 300 tribal leaders of all religions and ethnic groups. Hume Horan, a political advisor to Bremer, also was present. Horan, a former ambassador to Saudi Arabia and fluent Arabic speaker, addressed the audience in Arabic about the coalition’s efforts and its need for Iraqi support.
After Horan finished speaking, Sheik Munther Abood from Amarra thanked President Bush for removing the Baath regime of Saddam Hussein and stated that he had seen the mass graves full of dead Shias in the south and was firmly opposed to Saddam. He then asked Horan if the coalition forces in Iraq were liberators or occupiers. Horan responded that they were “somewhere in between occupier and liberator.“
This was not well received by the audience. Sheik Abood stated that if America was a liberator, then the coalition forces were welcome indefinitely as guests, but that if they were occupiers, then he and his descendants would “die resisting” them. This met with energetic applause from the audience. Several other sheiks echoed the same sentiment. Then the meeting deteriorated and a third of the audience stood up and walked out, despite efforts by Horan and other organizers to encourage them to stay. At which point the meeting ended. It was not a public relations success.
Is it any wonder people like Khaled find support? “The guerrilla must move amongst the people as a fish swims in the sea,” Mao once said. (He also said, “Weapons are an important factor in war, but not the decisive factor; it is people, not things, that are decisive.” Khaled and people like him are proving Mao right.)
All Americans should be aware of the agonizing position Team Bush has put them in. There are few good solutions to this that will a) benefit the Iraqi people and respect their dignity and sovereignty, and b) keep the region stable and secure while reducing American casualties. The answers that do look viable — pumping massive quantities of aid and money aimed at rebuilding the country’s infrastructure and dealing with Iraqis on their terms and not on the Americans’ — don’t seem to on the table in Washington and Baghdad. Perhaps it’s just not in this White House’s political DNA to deal with anyone except at gunpoint. (“Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.” — Mao, again.)
Former CENTCOM commander Tommy Franks says the world is facing a four-year presence in Iraq. So, electing a Democrat into the White House in 2004 won’t be a solution. As I’ve argued above, the chaos and anarchy that would result in a premature pullout will force any president to maintain a sizable presence in Iraq. (Americans should still turn Bush and his cronies out on their collective ass, though. The list of reasons to do so other than Iraq are encyclopedic.)
The comments from Khaled, Franks, Horan and Sheik Abood remind me of the apocryphal story told of the encounter between an American colonel and his North Vietnamese counterpart at the Paris Peace Conference. “You know,” the American said, “you never defeated us on the battlefield.” His counterpart responded: “That may be so, but it is also irrelevant.”
Kurds appoint first woman prefect in Iraq
Thank goodness for a little good news from Iraq. Mudira Abu Bakr has been appointed town prefect of the Dukan region near Suleimaniya, making her the first woman “governor” since the founding of modern Iraq in 1921.
“I will work according to my action plan to provide the best public services for the people of the Dukan region and I will do my best to ensure the rule of law,” Abu Bakr told journalists at a ceremony to mark the occasion.
Good for the Kurds. Abu Bakr joins Nasreen Mustafa Sideek Barwari, the minister for reconstruction and development in the Kurdistan Regional Government, in rebuilding Iraqi Kurdistan. The appointment of Abu Bakr and Sideek Barwari’s continued duties is in marked contrast to developments to the south, where conservative religious leaders are encouraging, or even forcing, women to cover up and pull back from the relatively equal status they held under Saddam Hussein’s reign. (“Relative” is the operative word here. They were more or less oppressed equally.)
Interestingly, women attained much of their equal status in the 1980s during the Iran-Iraq war, when the men were sent to the front lines to die and women entered the workforce to replace them — a similar dynamic to what happened in the United States during World War II. After the 1991 Gulf War and the imposition of sanctions, however, jobs disappeared and Saddam began encouraging a religious revival to hold on to power. Women were usually the ones who paid the price, and the _hijab_ became more common as Sunni clerics railed against Western immorality.
But in the north, the Kurds were one their own. When I was there last July and, more recently, during the war, I often saw women working in stores or in businesses and not wearing head scarves. One of the women, an Arab from Baghdad who had moved up to Arbil, worked at the Arbil Towers, the hotel I stayed at, and came out to a Fox News party I attended. The Kurdish _peshemergas_ at the table seemed not to mind (or notice) as she flirted with one of the network’s cameramen.
And Arbil, in the Kurdistan Democratic Party’s territory, is much more conservative than Suleimaniya and the nearby Dukan region, which is controlled by the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. Women _peshmergas_ are unthinkable to the KDP, but on the day of the liberation of Kirkuk, I ran into an all-woman squad of PUK _peshmergas_, fully armed with Kalashnikovs and wearing the yellow green headband of their party. I was surprised when I saw them lounging in the back of a truck, and it must have showed. They looked at me, then smiled and laughed at my expression.
So Abu Bakr’s appointment is good news, indeed. Now let’s hope the rest of the country can see the good that women such as Sideek Barwari and Abu Bakr have done and can do, and learn from their example.
[NOTE: I had a color-blind moment when I wrote this and said the PUK’s color was yellow. It’s green.]