More DU used in Iraq?

In the process of sav­ing Iraq from Sad­dam by thor­oughly bomb­ing large cities, the United States may be upping the depleted ura­nium (DU) used in muni­tions for this war.
As the Fed­er­a­tion of Amer­i­can Sci­en­tists say:

In mil­i­tary appli­ca­tions, when alloyed, Depleted Ura­nium [DU] is ideal for use in armor pen­e­tra­tors. These solid metal pro­jec­tiles have the speed, mass and phys­i­cal prop­er­ties to per­form excep­tion­ally well against armored tar­gets. DU pro­vides a sub­stan­tial per­for­mance advan­tage, well above other com­pet­ing mate­ri­als. This allows DU pen­e­tra­tors to defeat an armored tar­get at a sig­nif­i­cantly greater dis­tance. Also, DU’s den­sity and phys­i­cal prop­er­ties make it ideal for use as armor plate. DU has been used in weapon sys­tems for many years in both appli­ca­tions.
Depleted ura­nium results from the enrich­ing of nat­ural ura­nium for use in nuclear reac­tors. Nat­ural ura­nium is a slightly radioac­tive metal that is present in most rocks and soils as well as in many rivers and sea water. Nat­ural ura­nium con­sists pri­mar­ily of a mix­ture of two iso­topes (forms) of ura­nium, Uranium-235 (U235) and Uranium-238 (U238), in the pro­por­tion of about 0.7 and 99.3 per­cent, respec­tively. Nuclear reac­tors require U235 to pro­duce energy, there­fore, the nat­ural ura­nium has to be enriched to obtain the iso­tope U235 by remov­ing a large part of the U238. Uranium-238 becomes DU, which is 0.7 times as radioac­tive as nat­ural ura­nium. [Other sources list it as 60 – 65 per­cent — Ed.] Since DU has a half-life of 4.5 bil­lion years, there is very lit­tle decay of those DU materials.

In addi­tion to the radioac­tiv­ity, DU is chem­i­cally toxic, pyrophoric — mean­ing it burns fiercely on pen­e­tra­tion — and usu­ally spreads aeroli­sized par­ti­cles over a large area on impact. The par­tic­u­lates can be car­ried on the wind up to 26 miles and enter the human body through inges­tion, inhala­tion or through open­ings in the skin.
ktank.jpgThere has been no link proved between DU muni­tions and Gulf War Syn­drome, which has affected about 100,000 vet­er­ans of that con­flict, or the increased rate of child­hood can­cers in south­ern Iraq. The Pen­ta­gon has denied any dan­ger from DU (well, apart from being used in bombs, of course.) For­mer Defense Sec­re­tary William S. Cohen once com­pared it to lead paint.
“Where it’s unsafe, it’s like leaded paint,” Cohen said. “Leaded paint does not pose a prob­lem to you unless it starts to peel and then chil­dren or oth­ers ingest it.“
I’m a lit­tle slack-jawed at this com­ment. Lead paint was banned in U.S. homes in 1978 due to its extreme tox­i­c­ity.
Over­all, I’m per­son­ally dubi­ous. While the Pen­ta­gon has played down the dan­gers of DU, this is also the agency that furi­ously denied for years that Gulf War Syn­drome existed at all, regard­less of the causes. And while DU in an unex­ploded muni­tion might be rel­a­tively harm­less, burned and aerosolized DU will be spread over a much larger area and could enter the soil and water table of the envi­ron­ment. How many stud­ies have been done? Why are NATO allies ner­vous about expos­ing their troops to Amer­i­can muni­tions?
Per­haps DU really is as harm­less as the DoD con­tends. But in a world in which the U.S. has _lost_ a PR bat­tle with Sad­dam Hus­sein, is it really a wise move to use muni­tions that many believe increases the risk of child­hood can­cers? (Irony alert: The U.S. will open itself up to charges that it used a weapon against an enemy who may have used afla­tox­ins, which can cause liver can­cer in chil­dren, against the Kurds of Hal­abja.) My point is not that there’s a moral equiv­a­lence between Saddam’s regime and the United States gov­ern­ment — there’s not one, and I strongly dis­agree with peo­ple who make that argu­ment — but that the United States shouldn’t be _looking_ for more rea­sons to have the world sus­pi­cious of its actions and/or motives.
I know that in any war sol­diers should use the best weapons avail­able to them; these weapons could end the war more quickly. But heavy use of DU weapons in a “shock and awe” cam­paign strikes me as yet one more rea­son to oppose Mr. Bush’s Splen­did Lit­tle War.
*Cor­rec­tion:* Ear­lier, I referred to José María Aznar as the Span­ish _prime minister_ but a Span­ish reader has informed me he’s Spain’s _president_. The CIA World Fact­book 2002 also refers to him as the pres­i­dent. Oops! (In my defense, how­ever, almost every English-languag media I’ve seen refers to him as prime minister.)

Tick-tock, tick-tock…

The news today is dom­i­nated by the events in the Azores, where U.K. Prime Min­is­ter Tony Blair, U.S. Pres­i­dent George W. Bush and Span­ish Prime MIn­is­ter José María Aznar deliv­ered a dead­line to … the United Nations.
The Axis of War (hey, there are three of them!) told the world body that its mem­bers had “overnight” to think about sup­port­ing the U.S.‘s efforts to march on Bagh­dad.
“There’s a sim­ple choice,” Blair told reporters after the coun­cil of war. “Peo­ple have got to decide whether they are going to allow any sec­ond res­o­lu­tion to have the teeth to make it clear that there is a real ulti­ma­tum, and that’s what we are going to have to find out overnight.“
As Bush declared tomor­row is the “moment of truth” for the world to demand that Iraq dis­arm com­pletely and uncon­di­tion­ally, Iraqi pres­i­dent Sad­dam Hus­sein responded by threat­en­ing to unleash war “wher­ever there is sky, land or water.“
This, obvi­ously, is either a warn­ing or call for ter­ror retal­i­a­tion, which many — OK, me — have feared for a while. (Hear­ing the first plane snarl over­head at 8:45 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 and watch­ing both tow­ers fall from blocks away makes one leery of a mis­guided for­eign pol­icy that has a goal of war with­out end, amen, and a blow­back that invites and encour­ages ter­ror attacks like sui­cide bomb­ings on the sub­ways.) The New York Times reports that anger at the Iraqi cam­paign is boost­ing al Qa’ida recruit­ment on three con­ti­nents, some­thing I men­tioned two weeks ago (scroll down.) In the Pales­tin­ian ter­ri­to­ries, Islamic fac­tions are call­ing explic­itly for a jihad against the West, and the United States in par­tic­u­lar. In a com­mu­niqué dis­trib­uted to jour­nal­ists dur­ing a march in Gaza City, Hamas Leader Sheikh Ahmad Yassin called on the Islamic nation “to strike at West­ern inter­ests every­where if Iraq is con­quered. … The hate-drenched West, headed by Amer­ica, declared today a cru­sade on the [Islamic] nation and on the Mus­lim belief when it gath­ered to strike Iraq.“
Yassin called on the Iraqi peo­ple to join ranks under the ban­ner of jihad, and demanded that Iraq “open its bor­ders to all Mus­lims across the world so that they can play their part in the defen­sive bat­tle of the [Islamic] nation.“
Oddly enough, this hap­pened once before when a super­power invaded a Mus­lim coun­try and set up a pup­pet gov­ern­ment. Thou­sands of rad­i­cal­ized young men poured into the coun­try and began a guerilla cam­paign that even­tu­ally led to the the hum­bling of the super­power and its retreat. The coun­try even­tu­ally fell into chaos, gang­ster­ism, rule by war­lords and ultra­harsh Islamic fun­da­men­tal­ism. The coun­try, of course, is Afghanistan and the super­power was the Soviet Union.
And, omi­nously, I received an email today from a Mus­lim man in France who promised to become an “explo­sive martyr” — with no specifics given — in the event of a U.S. inva­sion of Iraq.
“Irak after this war, where childs and par­ents will die, Irak will rec­og­nize this zion­ist project [Israel] as [a] state but the world will cry and scream.
“Yes, I will be an explo­sive mar­tyrs [sic] as you said.“
If all that’s not enough to scare the crap out of you, in upstate New York a 20-lb. carp, just prior to being killed, allegedly began to yell in Hebrew, shout­ing “Tzaruch shemi­rah” and “Hasof bah,” which in essence means account for your­self for the end is near. (Can some Hebrew speak­ers check that trans­la­tion?)
The fish was even­tu­ally butchered and sold, prompt­ing a gefilte fish com­pany to toy with the idea of adopt­ing the slo­gan, “Our Fish Speaks for Itself.“
Jokes aside, the world seems closer to mid­night than ever. “I am liv­ing at the Villa Borgh­ese,” wrote Henry Miller in the open­ing line to _Tropic of Cancer_. “There is not a crumb of dirt any­where, nor a chair mis­placed. We are all alone here and we are dead.“
It’s a beau­ti­ful day today in New York.

From the department of Newspeak

OK. See if you can fol­low me here: The United States is con­cerned that Sad­dam Hus­sein could launch a first strike against the troops in the region — or Israel — once Bush sig­nals that war is immi­nent, so the United States may have to strike first. But offi­cials are con­cerned that if Amer­ica strikes first, it will appear the _United States has started a war._
_38959027_tomcatap203.jpgDid I wake up in some weird alter­nate uni­verse or some­thing? After months of mass­ing troops, threat­en­ing Iraq, bul­ly­ing the United Nations, admit­ting that Sad­dam has not attacked the United States nor was it involved in Sept. 11, 2001, _now_ offi­cials are wor­ried they might look like they’re start­ing a war?
I thought Iraq was part of Pres­i­dent Bush’s doc­trine of “preëmptive self-defense,” which sounds an awful lot like “best defense is a good offense.” Which means, by def­i­n­i­tion, that start­ing a war is _kind of the whole point._
Most likely, this is some bone­head offi­cial talk­ing smack to an ABC reporter. But it does high­light the prob­lems fac­ing the United States: namely, that this is a war of choice, not neces­sity. And that if it’s pros­e­cuted with­out the aegis of the United Nations Secu­rity Coun­cil, it will be an aggres­sive war, which is _highly_ ille­gal under the U.N. char­ter.
The irony of all this is that if the United States doesn’t have a res­o­lu­tion, Iraq would be per­fectly jus­ti­fied in attack­ing first, both under the logic of the Bush Doc­trine and Arti­cle 51 of the the U.N. char­ter, which states, “Noth­ing in the present Char­ter shall impair the inher­ent right of indi­vid­ual or col­lec­tive self-defence if an armed attack occurs against a Mem­ber of the United Nations, until the Secu­rity Coun­cil has taken mea­sures nec­es­sary to main­tain inter­na­tional peace and secu­rity.” (George over at War­blog­ging has a nice take on this.)
This is just get­ting twistier by the moment. And now that war is loom­ing ever closer, Amer­ica is twist­ing Iraq’s legit­i­mate right to self-defense to jus­tify a first strike. I love Amer­ica, I really do, but this is going beyond all rea­son­able stan­dards for how a demo­c­ra­tic coun­try founded on some of humanity’s best ideals is sup­posed to act. To say the rhetoric com­ing from Wash­ing­ton is Orwellian is now to under­state the case rather than blow it up into hyper­bole. There seems to be no attempt to hide the pro­pa­ganda, indi­cat­ing a supreme con­tempt for the dis­cern­ing facil­i­ties of the Amer­i­can peo­ple and other peo­ples of the world.
Mean­while, Bush, Blair and Aznar are meet­ing in the Azores (say that three times fast) to work out some last minute diplo­macy. This is inter­est­ing since it means Bush will have to get off the phone and actu­ally spend some face time with his bud­dies. But wouldn’t it be bet­ter to have some face-time with coun­tries like Free­dom (neé France) and Rus­sia who don’t sup­port him? Back in 1990, U.S. Sec­re­tary of State James Baker was ubiq­ui­tous and the coali­tion was a big suc­cess. When was the last time Colin Pow­ell went out of the coun­try? Bush? I know it’s not a good time to fly, but still…
By not invit­ing rep­re­sen­ta­tives from France, etc., this loos like a war coun­cil aimed at get­ting a suc­cess­ful UNSC vote instead of a sum­mit look­ing for com­mon ground and a com­pro­mise out of the diplo­matic marsh­lands. But this is just more down-the-rabbit-hole insan­ity, with U.S. for­eign pol­icy used to make pos­si­ble a war on Iraq. Clause­witz once said, “War is regarded as noth­ing but the con­tin­u­a­tion of state pol­icy with other means.” But as I said once before, this war is no longer a tool for state pol­icy, but instead state pol­icy has become a tool for war.
Stu­pid.
No Love Boat
In other news, the mar­riage between the media and the mil­i­tary is look­ing as rocky as Rick Rock­well and Darva Conger’s from Fox’s “Who Wants to Marry a Mil­lion­aire?” At least on the USS Abra­ham Lin­coln. The “embed­ded” jour­nal­ists on the Lin­coln are mon­i­tored, minded and accom­pa­nied by escorts every­where they go. Once, when mis­tak­enly wan­der­ing into a meet­ing, two cam­era­men were con­fronted by armed guards.
Now, I know there are restric­tions in war time; jour­nal­ists need to under­stand that. And most of the time fric­tion between reporters and the mil­i­tary is caused by mis­un­der­stand­ings rather than hos­til­ity. But I was pretty sure the Pentagon’s new pol­icy for embed­ding jour­nal­ists with the troops was a pro­pa­ganda ploy, and if the events on the _Abraham Lincoln_ are indica­tive of how the press will be treated, I’m not con­fi­dent this war will as aggres­sively cov­ered as peo­ple think it will be.

War — What’s this one good for?

cpe_baghdad_tigris_01.jpgFol­low­ing the news this week has been con­fus­ing to say the least. Did the United States have 11 votes on the Secu­rity Coun­cil? Eight? Nine? Four? The vote is going to hap­pen Fri­day. Or maybe next week. The March 17 dead­line for Iraq to dis­arm is firm, or maybe it isn’t. Maybe the United States will just say, “to hell with it,” and launch the bombers. Or maybe it will con­tinue to go “the extra mile” for diplo­macy. Who the hell knows?
victorybonds.jpgIt’s safe to say that read­ing the cur­rent Secu­rity Coun­cil is like try­ing to read tea leaves in a still-swirling cup. No one knows where the votes will come down until the last moment.
The U.S., for geo-strategic rea­sons, wants to go to war, very badly. France and Ger­many, for their own rea­sons, want to stop a war, very badly. Tony Blair may want to go to war, but I doubt he wants to very badly. If he does, in fact, take the U.K. into bat­tle, he needs a new res­o­lu­tion very badly, or he might see his own regime changed before Baghdad’s. The rest of the Coun­cil — Rus­sia, China, Syria, Angola, Pak­istan, Guinea, Bul­garia, Spain, Mex­ico, Chile and Cameroon — is basi­cally for sale.
As Strat­for points out, this is now a bid­ding war and being in between the U.S.-U.K. and France-Germany teams is the best place to be. Angola, Guinea et al., can sit back, keep the game going for as long as pos­si­ble, get the bids (for aid, invest­ment, mil­i­tary coop­er­a­tion, state din­ners or what­ever) as high as pos­si­ble and not let any­one know their prices until the very last moment. Why is it so hard to count noses on the Coun­cil on the issue of Iraq? Because the courted coun­tries don’t know how they’ll vote until the gavel comes down and all bids are in.
And then we’ll have Mr. Bush’s splen­did lit­tle war.
Ironic, isn’t it? I thought the point of diplo­macy was to avoid war, but this bizarro diplo­macy is intended (by the United States) to bless a war — and to keep the appear­ance of a coali­tion by keep­ing Britain in the game. France knows that what­ever its actions, it can’t stop this train wreck — George W. Bush has already said the United States doesn’t need the U.N.‘s per­mis­sion — so Jacques Chirac’s intran­si­gence is intended to .… what? Cement France’s posi­tion as the leader of the Euro­pean coun­ter­weight to Amer­ica? Keep the United Nations rel­e­vant, as though the dom­i­nant member’s ignor­ing the Secu­rity Coun­cil doesn’t ren­der it irrel­e­vant any­way?
bhun.jpgThis ker­fluffle stopped being about Iraq, weapons of mass destruc­tion, national inter­ests and the effi­cacy of the United Nations long ago. Oh, national lead­ers say these are the rea­sons, but so many have refused to bend or com­pro­mise that every­one is painted into a diplo­matic or mil­i­tary cor­ner. Bush can’t back down because Amer­ica will look weak and encour­age more ter­ror­ist attacks. Of course, by wag­ing an aggres­sive war against Iraq, that will encour­age more ter­ror­ist attacks, too. Tony Blair can’t back down because he’ll be just as dead polit­i­cally as he will be if he takes Britain to war with­out a res­o­lu­tion, so he might as well go for­ward and hope for a quick vic­tory. France can’t back down because Chirac has com­mit­ted France to oppos­ing America’s hege­mony. Iraq can’t back down because the United States will accuse it of more delay­ing tac­tics and decep­tions and attack any­way. There’s no longer a good rea­son for any of this.
This isn’t the start of World War III, it’s the start of World War I — a very stu­pid war, started thanks to a tan­gle of alliances, national pride and per­sonal egos involved. It never had to hap­pen. And — again with the irony — WWI is the war that brought the world to this point, spawn­ing the League of Nations, the fail­ure of which led to World War II and the later cre­ation of the United Nations and the Secu­rity Coun­cil. It also saw the destruc­tion of the Ottoman Empire and the cre­ation of the King­dom of Iraq. And let’s not for­get the use of chem­i­cal weapons — allegedly the rea­son for the great big army in the desert. It was a war that embod­ied the Law of Unin­tended Con­se­quences.
I promised I wouldn’t make pre­dic­tions about the start of the war, so per­haps I can make one about the end of it. When it’s over and the dust has set­tled, the United States will stand supreme in the world, pow­er­ful but hated, its boot on the throat of Iraq. The inter­na­tional frame­works built over the last 50 years, includ­ing the United Nations, will lie in ruins or will be about to col­lapse. Resent­ful young men, hearts full of fear, hate and Allah will find refuge and a rai­son d’etre as explo­sive mar­tyrs. The world will be less safe — for every­one. And thou­sands of peo­ple — sol­diers, civil­ians, inno­cent or not — will be dead. And for no good rea­son at all.

Update on the Pentagon’s targeting of sat-phones and independent journalists

Ear­lier today, I reported on an inter­view with the BBC’s Kate Adie and her charges that the Pen­ta­gon was adopt­ing a “Who cares? They’ve been warned” atti­tude toward inde­pen­dent jour­nal­ists and sat-phone emis­sions. An unnamed source in the Pen­ta­gon allegedly told her that all sat-phone emis­sions from behind enemy lines in Iraq would be “tar­geted down” by U.S. pilots and blown up real good.
Well, I talked to Air Force Lt. Col. Ken McClel­lan at the DoD tonight to update my pre­vi­ous post­ing.
“I don’t want to say a HARM wouldn’t go after those kinds of emis­sions,” he said. “But we’re not after reporters.“
He advised me to look at the record in Afghanistan. “We had all sorts of reporters run­ning all over the place and they did bet­ter than those large antenna facil­i­ties,” he said. He was refer­ring to the bomb­ing of the Al Jazeera offices and trans­mit­ters in Kubul. As murky as the sit­u­a­tion was regard­ing the bomb­ing of Al Jazeera, I couldn’t find a sin­gle instance of a reporter killed in a mis­sile attack. Pre­sum­ably, mobile trans­mit­ters such as myself, wouldn’t _necessarily_ be tar­geted, but acci­dents can hap­pen.
“I wouldn’t stand on the rub­ble of a com­mand post and light up,” said McClel­lan echo­ing Keck’s advice from ear­lier in the day.
The bot­tom line: I do believe the Pen­ta­gon would make every effort to ver­ify that a trans­mis­sion was hos­tile before let­ting hell loose on it. This video from Afghanistan shows the con­cern gun­ners in an AC-130 had about _not_ hit­ting a mosque. McClel­lan said that any trans­mis­sions would be mon­i­tored and that if they heard some­one speak­ing in Eng­lish, it’s unlikely they would be tar­geted. That said, it’s pos­si­ble that some reporters could be put in harms’ way by being in the wrong place at the wrong time or doing some­thing stu­pid. (See: bombed com­mand bunker, phon­ing from.)
Oh, and a side note of inter­est: When I men­tioned that I was plan­ning on being in Iraqi Kur­dis­tan (more or less true) McClel­lan said, “That’s an excel­lent place to be.” Hmm.