Qatar coup a plot of the Saudis?

The recent report of the attempted Qatari coup plot that allegedly went down Oct. 12, and reported by Strat­for and Ara​bic​News​.com, may not be what it appears. The story hasn’t bro­ken here in the United States (or in most West­ern media it seems) lead­ing Strat­for to deduce that Wash­ing­ton has done a fair job of tamp­ing this story down.
But sources in the State Depart­ment say the whole thing is made up, a bit of dis­in­for­ma­tion on the part of the Saudis who are angry over the milder form of Wahab­bism prac­ticed in Qatar, Al Jazeera, which is based in there and, espe­cially, Sheikh Hamad Bin Khal­i­fah al-Thani’s rel­a­tively close ties with the United States. (It should also be noted that al-​Thani deposed his father in 1996 in a blood­less coup and Riyadh helped the deposed monarch stage an unsuc­cess­ful counter-​coup soon after.)
I don’t believe the State Depart­ment. How are Saudi inter­ests served by spread­ing rumors of an attempted coup? I’ve been try­ing to puz­zle out what pur­pose dis­in­for­ma­tion might serve, and damned if I can make sense of it. So that leads me to the sim­plest expla­na­tion. That there was a coup attempt, U.S. sol­diers may or may not have helped put it down and the United States is telling fibs to keep up appear­ances that it’s got the Gulf sit­u­a­tion under con­trol. I don’t believe Saudi Ara­bia was behind the coup, since the peo­ple arrested seem to be mil­i­tant Islamists and Riyadh wouldn’t do some­thing that might strengthen the hands of its own mil­i­tants.
Some­thing is fishy is Doha, but what it is we might never know.

U.S. to pay Russia $10 billion for Iraq backing

Care­ful read­ers will remem­ber that I said that Rus­sia was drag­ging its feet at the United Nations on America’s “kick Saddam’s ass” res­o­lu­tion because it was hop­ing for some guar­an­tee that the $8 bil­lion that Iraq owes Rus­sia would be paid. Well, here is the reas­sur­ance. In response to taken ques­tions, a State depart­ment spokesper­son said that Rus­sia could be com­pen­sated for more than $10 bil­lion if they stopped their nuclear coöper­a­tion with Iran and allowed their coun­try to become a nuclear waste dump.

One exam­ple is the poten­tial trans­fer to Rus­sia for stor­age of spent reac­tor fuel cur­rently held by third coun­tries, much of which requires US approval for such trans­fer because the US orig­i­nally sup­plied the fresh fuel to those coun­tries. If the Rus­sians end their sen­si­tive coöper­a­tion with Iran, we have indi­cated we would be pre­pared to favor­ably con­sider such trans­fers, an arrange­ment poten­tially worth over $10 bil­lion to Moscow.

This kind of deal will lead Rus­sia to ulti­mately sup­port the United States against Iraq.
Also, some other news that hasn’t been widely reported here in the States: an attempted coup in Qatar! Who knew about this? Any­one? Any­one? Seems that Amer­i­can troops helped put down a coup attempt against Sheikh Hamad Bin Khaleifah al-​Thani on Oct. 12. High rank­ing Qatari army offi­cers were arrested and sus­pi­cion imme­di­ately fell on an Islamist orga­ni­za­tion and Pak­istani and Yem­ini army recruits with alleged ties to Al Qa’ida.
The is big. Rela­tions with Saudi Ara­bia have cooled since Sept. 11, 2001, and Al Udeid Air Base out­side of Doha is the best alter­na­tive. If Qatar were moved out of America’s camp, the United States would have to rely on Incir­lik in Turkey and Diego Gar­cia in the Indian Ocean to fly sor­ties against Iraqi tar­gets. And most of the air­craft in the south would have to be car­rier based, which would cut down on the num­ber and fre­quency of sor­ties. It wouldn’t make an Iraqi oper­a­tion impos­si­ble, but it would make it more dif­fi­cult, I’ll wager.
What’s most wor­ri­some, from a Pen­ta­gon war planner’s point of view, is the poten­tial loss of Qatar, the con­tin­ued refusal of Saudi Ara­bia to allow the use of its air bases and trou­bling Al Qa’ida attacks in Kuwait. None of these things is crip­pling indi­vid­u­ally, but in a worst-​case sce­nario, America’s entire south­ern front in a Sec­ond Gulf War could crumble.